TLDRs;
- Applied Materials rises after ASML reports record orders and 2026 forecast.
- AI-driven chip tool demand boosts optimism across semiconductor equipment sector.
- Investors await AMAT’s fiscal Q1 earnings report on February 12.
- China export risks could impact Applied Materials’ growth despite strong orders.
Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) saw its stock stabilize at $341.34 on Thursday, marking a 1.4% increase from the previous close after a day of volatile trading that ranged between $329 and $348.
The movement followed news from ASML, the world’s largest chipmaking equipment supplier, which reported record fourth-quarter orders totaling €13.2 billion and raised its 2026 sales forecast to €34–39 billion.
Investors interpreted ASML’s results as a positive signal for the broader chip-equipment sector, indicating continued growth in AI-driven semiconductor investments. Trading volume for AMAT reached roughly 7.3 million shares, reflecting heightened market interest in chip toolmakers amid this upbeat outlook.
AI Spending Drives Chip Tools
Chip-equipment firms like Applied Materials are often early indicators of industry spending trends. When chipmakers ramp up orders for tools, it usually precedes broader capital investment cycles. Analysts say ASML’s strong bookings reflect robust AI-driven demand in data centers and semiconductor fabrication, a trend extending beyond Nvidia’s premium chips.
Portfolio managers have noted improved conditions across the sector, with companies expanding growth initiatives in response to rising AI workloads. While some investors remain cautious about the escalating costs of AI deployments, the steady stream of orders from equipment suppliers is providing short-term confidence in the sector.
Traders Eye Q1 Earnings
Applied Materials is set to report its fiscal first-quarter results on February 12, 2026, with an earnings call scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET. In addition, the company’s annual shareholder meeting is planned for March 12 in Santa Clara, California, where shareholders will vote on director elections, advisory say-on-pay proposals, and the ratification of KPMG as auditor.
Market participants will be closely watching AMAT’s upcoming earnings report to assess whether the company can sustain momentum from AI-related orders while managing costs and capital expenditures. The volatility seen in recent trading sessions highlights investor sensitivity to both sector news and broader macroeconomic conditions affecting Big Tech and AI investment cycles.
China Risks Remain
Despite positive momentum, Applied Materials faces potential headwinds linked to U.S. export regulations. Stricter rules could impact demand for the company’s tools in China, making the company’s growth outlook contingent on geopolitical and policy developments. Investors are advised to monitor how regulatory changes may influence revenue composition across global markets.
Analysts suggest that while ASML’s strong performance provides a bullish signal, some of the optimism may already be reflected in current valuations. Firms like Lam Research and KLA are also benefiting from AI-driven spending trends, offering investors multiple avenues to access the growth in chip-tool demand without relying on a single company.
Outlook
Applied Materials’ stock has shown resilience in the face of market fluctuations, supported by the broader optimism surrounding AI-driven semiconductor investments. As traders await the February earnings report and assess regulatory developments, AMAT’s performance will likely continue to serve as a key barometer for investor sentiment in the chip-equipment sector.


