TLDR
- Bitcoin ETF inflows surge to $642M daily, pushing weekly totals above $2.3B as institutions increase exposure
- Technical patterns mirror historical Q4 rallies with falling wedge and megaphone formations suggesting breakout potential
- Analysts project $150K Bitcoin price target by early 2026 based on Fibonacci extensions and seasonal patterns
- Federal Reserve rate cut expectations create favorable macro environment with 105 of 107 economists predicting cuts
- Bitcoin trades near $115,986 with strong support levels and institutional accumulation phases continuing
Bitcoin price action continues to attract institutional attention as exchange-traded fund inflows reach unprecedented levels. The leading cryptocurrency maintains its position near $115,986 while investors monitor Federal Reserve policy developments.

Recent data shows Bitcoin ETF inflows jumped $642 million in a single trading session. This surge pushed weekly totals above $2.3 billion, demonstrating strong institutional appetite for crypto exposure.
Fidelity and BlackRock emerged as dominant contributors to Bitcoin ETF flows. These institutional giants continue driving mainstream adoption through their investment vehicles.
Technical Analysis Points to Q4 Breakout Patterns
Bitcoin’s current price structure reflects familiar Q4 rally setups from previous market cycles. Technical analysts identify falling wedge and megaphone formations that historically preceded major upward movements.
The 2024 falling wedge breakout served as a catalyst for last year’s price surge. Current 2025 megaphone formation appears to follow similar technical pathways.
Market participants focus on a potential breakout above $120,000 resistance. This level could trigger increased institutional participation and broader market confidence.
Popular trader Rekt Capital emphasizes the importance of reclaiming $114,000 as support. This level needs to hold for Bitcoin to maintain its bullish structure heading into Q4.
Trader Skew noted strong bid depth and liquidity positioned below $115,000. Exchange order books show institutional support at these price levels.
Federal Reserve Policy Creates Favorable Environment
Market expectations center on upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. A Reuters survey reveals 105 of 107 economists anticipate three rate cuts before 2025 concludes.
Lower interest rates typically benefit risk assets like Bitcoin by increasing liquidity conditions. Institutions position themselves early to capitalize on expected policy shifts.
Bitcoin ETFs continue closing the gap with gold ETF inflows. This trend reflects growing acceptance of cryptocurrency as a legitimate macro hedge.
Trading firm Mosaic Asset Company expressed optimism about Q4 prospects for risk assets. The firm cites improving economic indicators and supportive financial conditions.
Strong market breadth includes participation from cyclical sectors. This broad-based strength supports continued economic expansion expectations.
Bitcoin maintained stability after touching $116,800 during recent trading sessions. This marked the highest level since August 23, showing sustained upward momentum.
The cryptocurrency drifted toward weekend lows approaching the weekly close. Market participants remain focused on maintaining support above critical technical levels.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Technical analysis combined with institutional flows supports bullish Bitcoin price predictions. Multiple analysts project the cryptocurrency could reach $150,000 by early 2026.
CoinGape issued similar projections using Fibonacci extension analysis. Symmetrical triangle patterns provide additional confirmation for long-term bullish targets.
Current accumulation phases above $115,000 suggest institutional confidence remains strong. ETF demand continues serving as a primary driver for sustained price appreciation.
The combination of technical breakout patterns and favorable macro conditions creates a supportive environment for Bitcoin’s next major move higher.