TLDR
- Bitnomial received a no-action letter from the CFTC allowing it to launch prediction markets in the U.S.
- The approved contracts will focus on digital assets, economic indicators, and financial outcomes.
- All transactions will be cleared through Bitnomial Clearinghouse which is a CFTC-registered entity.
- The approval follows similar CFTC decisions for companies including DraftKings, Gemini, and PredictIt.
- Bitnomial aims to provide traders with tools to manage risk through fully integrated market products.
- The company also became the first regulated U.S. firm to offer leveraged spot crypto trading in December.
Bitnomial has received regulatory clearance from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch a prediction market service. The approval came through a no-action letter issued Thursday, allowing Bitnomial to proceed without enforcement risk. This move positions the exchange to offer swap contracts on digital assets, economic indicators, and financial outcomes.
CFTC Grants Approval for Prediction Market Contracts
The no-action letter grants Bitnomial the green light to operate its new platform under staff-level regulatory guidance. This permission allows the company to offer swap contracts involving crypto prices, economic data, and financial results. The company will clear these trades through its affiliate, Bitnomial Clearinghouse, LLC.
Bitnomial stated that traders will gain access to contracts referencing token movements and macroeconomic trends. The exchange said these contracts will be integrated with its existing product line. “Participants will gain exposure to outcomes ranging from token price movements to macroeconomic indicators,” the company said in a recent release.
The approval aligns Bitnomial with other firms that recently received similar regulatory letters. The CFTC issued no-action letters to Polymarket, PredictIt, and LedgerX last month. DraftKings and Gemini have also received clearance for their respective prediction market offerings.
Exchange Expands Following December Developments
In December, Bitnomial became the first CFTC-regulated firm to offer leveraged spot crypto trades. That approval came under the direction of then-Acting Chair Caroline Pham, who oversaw several crypto initiatives. Her term ended shortly before Mike Selig assumed the role of CFTC Chairman.
The latest no-action letter falls under Selig’s leadership, but it reflects continuity in staff-level approvals. The CFTC clarified that the letter does not constitute formal Commission-level endorsement. However, it does provide legal assurance that Bitnomial can proceed without facing enforcement action.
Bitnomial emphasized full integration across its product suite for better risk management by market participants. The company says the infrastructure supports efficient trading across its ecosystem. This aligns with its broader strategy to streamline derivatives and spot market services.
Bitnomial Joins a Growing Field of Market Entrants
Bitnomial now joins a growing list of exchanges moving into regulated prediction markets. These platforms allow users to trade on future outcomes in finance, crypto, and economic trends. The CFTC has taken an active role in shaping how such platforms operate within regulatory boundaries.
The no-action relief follows a broader regulatory trend that supports innovation within structured legal frameworks. Firms receiving these letters must operate within detailed guidelines issued by CFTC staff. This ensures customer protection while encouraging compliant market growth.
Bitnomial’s new offering adds competition in a space previously occupied by informal or offshore markets. Now, more U.S.-based traders can access regulated tools to hedge or speculate on future events. These tools are designed to help manage risk in uncertain market environments.
The exchange confirmed that its clearinghouse will handle all contracts on its regulated platform. Bitnomial Clearinghouse, LLC is a registered derivatives clearing organization with the CFTC. This structure allows the firm to operate within the commission’s oversight.
With Thursday’s letter, Bitnomial continues expanding its footprint under the current regulatory framework. The exchange remains focused on product development and customer access in the U.S. derivatives market.


