TLDR
- Northwestern Mutual’s 2026 research shows almost one-third of Gen Z has adopted or is exploring crypto, sports wagering, and prediction platforms to achieve financial objectives.
- Four out of five Gen Z participants in these markets view them as accelerated wealth-building tools compared to conventional investment strategies.
- Polymarket data reveals merely 32% of platform users achieve profits, with 92% of successful traders earning under $1,000.
- While financial pessimism grows, the proportion of Americans reporting financial stability jumped 6 percentage points to reach 50%.
- Rising prices represent the primary financial security concern for 42% of respondents, surpassing insufficient savings and outstanding debt.
A recent Northwestern Mutual analysis indicates that young Americans are gravitating toward cryptocurrency, sports wagering, and prediction platforms as a response to feeling economically disadvantaged.
The firm’s 2026 Planning & Progress Study, released on March 9, discovered that approximately one-third of Gen Z individuals are actively participating in or contemplating these volatile financial instruments.
The Harris Poll administered the survey from January 5 through January 21, 2026, gathering responses from 4,375 American adults.
Within the Gen Z demographic investing or planning to invest in such assets, 80% expressed belief that these platforms provide accelerated pathways to their objectives compared to traditional approaches. This sentiment was shared by 73% of all US adults in the same category.
John Roberts, Northwestern Mutual’s chief field officer, identified an emerging phenomenon of “financial nihilism” among those experiencing heightened economic vulnerability.
According to Roberts, certain individuals perceive their savings as inadequate and their investment returns as disappointing. Consequently, they choose to “swing for the fences,” he explained, which includes wagering on unconventional outcomes like whether Jesus will return by the conclusion of 2026 on prediction platforms.
Prediction Market Data Paints a Grim Picture
Analytics from Polymarket indicate the probability of success remains unfavorable for the majority of platform participants.
Approximately 32% of Polymarket users have generated any positive returns whatsoever. Among profitable traders, roughly 73% accumulated $100 or less in earnings.
Conversely, 67% of Polymarket participants experience net losses. Excluding the top 1% of traders, achieving sustainable financial objectives through prediction platforms seems improbable.
Roberts cautioned against pursuing financial shortcuts. He emphasized that establishing financial stability requires consistency, self-control, and asset protection rather than expedient alternatives.
He advised restricting high-risk asset allocation to “fun money” exclusively and never investing amounts exceeding one’s capacity for total loss.
Over half of survey respondents acknowledged a vulnerability in their financial approach—prioritizing wealth accumulation over safeguarding existing assets. This deficiency proves more pronounced among younger demographics, impacting 57% of Gen Z and 62% of Millennials.
Financial Optimism and Inflation Concerns Exist Side by Side
Notwithstanding the nihilism phenomenon, Americans reporting financial security increased to 50%, representing a 6-percentage-point elevation from 2025. Among individuals working with financial advisors, 71% confirmed feeling economically secure.
The proportion of Americans identifying as “disciplined” financial planners rose to 53%, extending a two-year rebound from the record minimum of 45% in 2024.
Property ownership continues as a fundamental objective. Three-quarters of American adults characterized homeownership as vital for wealth accumulation. Even Gen Z and Millennials demonstrated increased confidence about future home purchases.
Nevertheless, inflation dominates concerns. Approximately 42% of participants identified it as their principal barrier to financial stability, exceeding insufficient savings at 25% and personal liabilities at 22%.
More participants anticipate economic deterioration in 2026 (45%) than enhancement (36%). Over half of adults expect continued price escalation.
Some relief appeared in everyday expenses. In 2026, 79% reported elevated grocery costs during the previous three months, declining from 84% the previous year. Only 44% observed increased fuel prices, representing a 16-point decrease from the prior period.
The survey concluded before US and Israeli military actions against Iran triggered fuel price increases.
Nearly half of Gen Z and Millennials indicated intentions to utilize Buy Now, Pay Later services for substantial purchases. One-third or more would apply such services to smaller routine expenditures.


