TLDR
- Stock advanced 3.4% to $60.17 on Wednesday trading session
- Wall Street consensus targets $78.73, implying 30% potential gain
- Multiple firms upgraded including Goldman Sachs initiating with buy rating
- Company posted Q3 loss that beat expectations on $53.55M revenue
- CEO and COO sold combined $27.8M while institutional ownership increased
MP Materials gained ground Wednesday, with shares advancing 3.4% to finish at $60.17. Volume dropped to 5.85 million shares, roughly half the stock’s typical daily activity.
The move higher comes as several major investment banks raised their outlook on the rare-earth materials company. Jefferies upgraded MP to buy from hold over the summer, assigning an $80 price objective. BMO Capital shifted to outperform despite trimming its forecast to $75.
Goldman Sachs started tracking the stock with a buy recommendation. Deutsche Bank moved from hold to buy with a $77 target. One dissenting voice emerged when Wall Street Zen cut its rating to sell last month.
Coverage now spans 15 analysts. Twelve recommend buying, one rates it strong buy, one suggests holding, and one advises selling. The average target price of $78.73 represents about 30% upside from Wednesday’s close. The top target reaches $112.
National Security Angle Attracts Attention
Analyst upgrades focus heavily on MP’s role in domestic supply chains. The company runs America’s only operating rare-earth mine at Mountain Pass in California. The materials extracted there are critical for defense systems, electric vehicle motors, and renewable energy equipment.
MP is expanding beyond mining into processing and magnet manufacturing. This vertical integration strategy aims to capture more profit margins while reducing U.S. dependence on foreign suppliers, particularly China. Analysts forecast the company will turn profitable during fiscal 2026.
November’s third quarter report showed a 10-cent per share loss. That beat Wall Street’s 15-cent loss projection. Revenue hit $53.55 million, topping estimates but falling 14.9% from the prior year period.
The financial snapshot reveals ongoing challenges. The company recorded a negative 50.6% net margin. Return on equity was negative 7.7%. Analysts project a full-year loss of 19 cents per share.
Executive Sales Counter Institutional Buying
Company leaders trimmed positions recently. COO Michael Rosenthal sold 150,000 shares in late August at $72.02 apiece, collecting $10.8 million. CEO James Litinsky offloaded 248,411 shares in November at $63.86 each for $15.9 million.
Third quarter insider sales reached $27.8 million total. Executives retain meaningful stakes though. Insiders control 12.6% of shares. Rosenthal’s transaction cut his holdings by 10.5%. Litinsky reduced his position just 1.8%.
Institutional investors bucked the selling trend. Rockefeller Capital Management boosted its stake 132.7% during Q2, adding over 100,000 shares. Multiple funds established new positions in the company. Institutional ownership now stands at 52.55% of shares.
The stock sports a $10.66 billion market capitalization. Shares trade above the 200-day moving average of $54.86 but remain below the 50-day line at $68.33. The stock’s beta of 2.26 indicates high volatility relative to the market.
Financial metrics show decent liquidity. The current ratio measures 8.05 with a quick ratio of 7.51. Debt-to-equity comes in at 0.47. These figures provide cushion as management works toward profitability and ramps up magnet production capabilities.


