TLDR
- Robinhood delivers Q4 2025 earnings Tuesday February 10 with analysts forecasting $0.63-$0.68 EPS and $1.34-$1.35 billion revenue
- HOOD stock plunged 27% year-to-date and 28% over past month as crypto market downturn hit shares
- Truist Securities cut price target to $130 from $155 but keeps Buy rating citing crypto’s limited revenue impact
- Platform maintains 26.8 million monthly active users with options traders pricing 11.76% post-earnings move
- Strong earnings history shows revenue beats in eight of nine recent quarters, averaging 5.4% above estimates
Robinhood announces fourth quarter 2025 financial results Tuesday, February 10, following market close. The earnings come as cryptocurrency volatility drives share price weakness.
HOOD stock tumbled 27% since January 1 and lost 28% during the past month. The decline erases some gains from a 47% rally over the previous twelve months.
Wall Street forecasts earnings between $0.63 and $0.68 per share. Last year’s comparable quarter produced $1.01 EPS. Revenue projections sit at $1.34 to $1.35 billion, marking 30-31% annual growth.
Growth rates show moderation from prior periods. Q4 2024 delivered 115% revenue increase. The expected 31% expansion represents solid performance but slower momentum.
Analyst Maintains Confidence Despite Crypto Weakness
Truist Securities’ David Smith reduced his target price to $130 from $155 while keeping a Buy recommendation. He argues the selloff exceeds fundamental deterioration.
Smith notes cryptocurrency trading comprises only a fraction of overall revenue. Strong performance in traditional retail trading offsets digital asset weakness. The diversified revenue model provides downside protection.
The platform supported 26.8 million monthly active users last quarter, climbing 10.3% year-over-year. User metrics remained stable across recent quarters. Engagement levels suggest business resilience beyond crypto exposure.
Previous quarter results topped analyst revenue expectations by 6%. Revenue reached $1.27 billion, doubling from the prior year. Customer account growth matched Wall Street forecasts.
Consistent Performance Against Expectations
The company’s earnings track record shows reliability. Only one earnings miss occurred across the past nine quarters. Revenue outperformance averaged 5.4% over two years versus analyst projections.
Analyst coverage maintained steady estimates during the past 30 days. Few revisions suggest consensus numbers already reflect current business conditions. Stable forecasts indicate measured expectations heading into results.
Derivatives markets imply an 11.76% price swing following the announcement. At-the-money straddle pricing reveals trader anticipation of substantial movement. Volatility expectations run high for Tuesday’s release.
Sector headwinds affected consumer internet stocks broadly. The group declined 16% on average during the past month. Economic policy uncertainty around tariffs and taxes pressured valuations across the category.
Competitor earnings showed challenging market conditions. Electronic Arts exceeded revenue estimates by 29.4% but shares dropped 2.3%. Reddit beat projections by 8.7% yet fell 7.4% after reporting.
Analyst consensus rates HOOD stock as Strong Buy. Twelve firms recommend purchasing shares while two suggest holding. Average price targets between $147.77 and $150.73 indicate 76-82% potential upside from current levels around $84.
The combination of user growth stability and revenue diversification supports the bullish analyst outlook. Tuesday’s results will test whether fundamentals can overcome cryptocurrency sentiment headwinds affecting the stock.
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