TLDRs;
- Mexico’s antitrust regulator rejects Visa’s Prosa acquisition, citing competition risks.
- Visa expresses disappointment and confirms it is evaluating all available options.
- U.S. markets rise as tariff uncertainty eases, payments stocks gain momentum.
- Investors await Visa updates and potential tariff developments next week.
Visa’s efforts to acquire a majority stake in Mexican payment processor Prosa have hit a significant roadblock.
On Friday, after U.S. markets closed, Mexico’s National Antitrust Commission announced it would block Visa’s proposed purchase of a 51% stake in the domestic processor. The regulator pointed to potential risks to the financial system and flagged concerns that the tie-up could reduce competition, especially given Prosa’s ownership of the Carnet card network.
The ruling is likely to weigh on Visa’s stock when markets reopen on Monday. The timing of the decision, released after trading hours on a Friday, leaves investors with no opportunity to absorb the news gradually, creating the potential for heightened volatility at the open.
Visa Responds to Regulatory Setback
Visa immediately reacted to the regulatory denial, calling the decision a setback for both competition and modernization in the payments sector. In a statement, the company said it is “disappointed” by the ruling and is “carefully reviewing next steps,” including all available options.
Following the announcement, Visa’s after-hours trading showed only minimal movement, with shares ticking slightly to $321.00, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. These after-hours sessions typically see low trading volumes, which can exaggerate price swings on even minor news.
Market Context and Broader Moves
Visa’s regulatory challenges come amid a broader market backdrop of shifting economic and policy signals. U.S. stocks ended Friday in positive territory, buoyed by the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn previous global tariffs imposed under the Trump administration. Investors also digested the administration’s short-term 10% tariff move, which provided some relief to corporate planning.
Despite these gains, macroeconomic indicators offered mixed signals. U.S. economic growth slowed in the fourth quarter, while the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, a key inflation gauge, picked up, complicating expectations for future interest rate cuts. Analysts highlighted that while tariff relief could boost corporate earnings, ongoing policy shifts may continue to unsettle markets.
Among payment-focused stocks, Mastercard (MA) outperformed Visa on Friday, rising 1.18% to close at $526.41. The stronger performance reflected investor preference for large-cap financial names amid ongoing uncertainty in regulatory and macro conditions.
Looking Ahead for Visa Investors
The road ahead for Visa remains uncertain. If the Prosa acquisition cannot be revived, the company’s ambitions to expand its footprint in Mexico may face delays. Investors are likely to monitor closely not only Visa’s next steps in Mexico but also any potential regulatory challenges in other markets.
Traders are also keeping an eye on broader developments, including tariff updates and upcoming earnings reports. Notably, Nvidia is scheduled to release its results this Wednesday, February 25, a key event that could influence market sentiment and risk appetite.
Visa’s experience highlights the increasingly complex regulatory environment for global payment companies. As investors prepare for Monday’s market open, heightened volatility is expected, reflecting both the immediate impact of the Mexico ruling and ongoing uncertainty in the financial and policy landscape.


