TLDR
- Cardano price drops 6% to $0.77 in 24 hours, down 16.5% weekly
- Technical analysis shows $0.80 as critical support for potential $0.95 recovery
- Grayscale ETF includes ADA with 1% allocation, creating institutional access
- MACD and moving averages signal continued bearish momentum
- Long-term targets suggest $3-$6 range possible in future cycles
Cardano price currently trades at $0.77, reflecting a 6.12% decline over the past 24 hours. The ADA token has experienced a sharp 16.5% drop over seven days as technical indicators continue showing bearish signals.

The cryptocurrency maintains its position among top digital assets with a market capitalization of $27.72 billion. Daily trading volume reached $1.51 billion, indicating continued investor interest despite recent price weakness.
Cardano price faces immediate resistance at $0.814 while support sits at $0.806. Breaking above resistance could target $0.850, but failure to hold support may push prices toward $0.800.
Technical analysis reveals concerning signals for ADA holders. The moving average indicator shows a bearish trend with the average positioned above current price action at $0.861. The MACD displays a bearish crossover pattern, suggesting continued downward pressure.
Critical Support Battle at $0.80
Technical analyst Ali Martinez identified $0.80 as the crucial support level for Cardano price recovery. Defending this level remains essential for any sustained rebound toward $0.95 targets.
Analyst Sssebi noted rejection at the $0.85 resistance area on September 25. The daily Relative Strength Index suggests oversold conditions may develop before meaningful recovery begins.
Sssebi projects ADA could decline to the $0.60-$0.70 range, describing this area as an optimal buying zone. These lower levels represent potential accumulation opportunities for long-term investors.
Martinez maintains bullish long-term projections despite current weakness. His analysis shows ADA previously topped at the 1.272 Fibonacci extension during the last market cycle.
Similar price action could drive Cardano price toward a $3-$6 range in future rallies. This technical framework suggests current weakness may offer strategic entry points.
ETF Development Boosts Institutional Access
Grayscale’s Digital Large Cap Fund ETF launched September 19 with exposure to major cryptocurrencies including Cardano. The fund allocates 1% to ADA, marking the first regulated multi-asset crypto product featuring the token.
ADA’s inclusion through SEC generic listing standards creates a pathway for dedicated Cardano spot ETFs. The token’s successful inclusion demonstrates compliance with SEC commodity-based criteria.
The SEC approved generic listing standards September 17 for commodity-based trust shares on major exchanges. This framework eliminates individual Rule 19b-4 filing requirements, streamlining the approval process.
ETF exposure provides institutional investors with compliant Cardano access through regulated vehicles. This development supports long-term bullish projections by potentially increasing demand through traditional investment channels.
Price Predictions and Market Outlook
Coincodex forecasts suggest Cardano price could rise 30.85% to reach $1.03 by October 25, 2025. Short-term predictions show potential highs of $0.795 by September 30, representing 3.81% upside.
The data indicates strong growth momentum with ADA likely sustaining above $1 throughout Q4 2025. However, reaching the $3.10 all-time high before 2026 would require nearly 3x gains beyond current forecasts.
Current price weakness aligns with broader altcoin correction patterns affecting major cryptocurrencies. The combination of ETF development and technical support defense creates potential catalysts for ADA recovery as market conditions improve.