Key Highlights
- XRP currently trades near $1.09, experiencing a 6%+ decline across the past 30 days
- Large transactions exceeding $1M on XRP Ledger plummeted from approximately 70 to merely 2
- Technical indicators show overwhelming bearish positioning with moving averages above current price
- Critical support zone between $1.00 and $0.95 commands market attention
- Breach below $0.90 may trigger extended downside toward $0.44 target
Ripple’s XRP maintains a precarious position around $1.09 on Bitstamp, yet the prevailing momentum has trended bearish for multiple weeks. The digital asset has declined 2.23% over the last day, shed 4.24% across the previous seven days, and lost 6.83% throughout the past month.
This bearish trajectory originated in August 2025, when XRP peaked at a swing high of $3.66. The subsequent price action has maintained a persistent downward trajectory.
Market participants are now fixating on the psychologically significant $1.00 support threshold. This price level represents a critical breakout zone from approximately two years prior, giving it substantial historical relevance for traders and investors.
Examining the four-hour timeframe reveals XRP nearing another support boundary around $0.95. Technical analysts have identified what appears to be an ending diagonal formation — a chart pattern that frequently indicates potential trend exhaustion.
Market technician @ew-forecast observed this pattern “could signal that selling pressure is starting to mature,” while cautioning that the overall market architecture remains bearish absent a validated reversal confirmation.
Dramatic Decline in Large Wallet Activity
Blockchain data reveals concerning developments. Santiment metrics shared by analyst Ali Martinez demonstrate that daily XRP Ledger transactions exceeding $1 million collapsed from roughly 70 earlier this week to a mere 2 transactions.
This sharp decline doesn’t necessarily confirm large holders are liquidating positions. Rather, it suggests significant inactivity — institutional investors and whales appear to be adopting a wait-and-see approach, hesitant to commit capital without clearer directional signals.
Open Interest metrics have similarly contracted, indicating reluctance among futures and options traders to establish strong directional positions. Exchange reserves are also declining, which could suggest accumulation behavior, though this doesn’t guarantee imminent price appreciation.
Analyst Celal Kucuker shared observations on X regarding an RSI divergence forming on XRP’s chart. He remarked: “A strong rally could be about to begin.” While this divergence merits attention, it has yet to catalyze meaningful buying momentum.
Technical Picture Remains Under Pressure
TradingView’s aggregate assessment for XRP registers as Neutral, though the underlying components reveal 14 sell indicators, 10 neutral readings, and only 2 buy signals. The Relative Strength Index currently measures 43.45, positioned beneath the neutral threshold of 50. The Average Directional Index registers 14.74, indicating the prevailing trend demonstrates weak directional conviction.
Critical Price Zones Under Surveillance
Virtually all exponential and simple moving averages — spanning from the 10-period through the 200-period EMA — remain positioned above current trading levels, each producing sell signals. The 200-period EMA resides at $1.468, considerably above XRP’s current valuation.
Primary support levels include $1.00, $0.95, $0.85, and $0.60. Should price action penetrate below $0.90, the subsequent significant support floor could descend as far as $0.44, according to historical drawdown patterns from previous cycles identified by analyst Chart Nerd.
Resistance consolidates between $1.10 and $1.13, where multiple moving averages form a confluence zone.
The latest blockchain data confirms whale activity has reached near-historic lows for this period, with merely 2 substantial transactions recorded on the XRP Ledger during the most recent session.
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