Key Takeaways
- Major banking institution Standard Chartered has launched coverage of ARB with an ambitious $10 valuation target for 2030’s conclusion
- The projection implies an approximately 7,000% surge from ARB’s present trading range of $0.13–$0.14
- The launch of Robinhood Chain has amplified Arbitrum’s monthly earnings to five times their June levels
- The bank anticipates ARB will deliver superior returns compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum throughout the decade
- Primary concerns include decelerated tokenization adoption and competitive pressure from alternative layer-2 networks
In a significant endorsement of layer-2 scaling technology, Standard Chartered has unveiled coverage of Arbitrum’s native ARB token, establishing a $10 valuation target by 2030’s close. With ARB currently trading near $0.13–$0.14, this forecast suggests potential gains approaching 7,000%.
Geoff Kendrick, who leads Standard Chartered’s Global Digital Assets Research division, published the analysis for institutional clients. The projection positions ARB as a stronger performer than both Bitcoin and Ethereum throughout the forecast window. For context, the bank’s concurrent predictions place Bitcoin at $500,000 and Ethereum at $40,000 by decade’s end.
Market data from CoinGecko shows ARB has already appreciated 86% in the trailing 30-day period.
The analysis establishes intermediate milestones along the path: $0.50 by 2026’s conclusion, $1.50 by end-2027, $3.50 by end-2028, and $6.50 by end-2029.
Robinhood Chain Transforms Revenue Dynamics
The foundation of Standard Chartered’s optimistic outlook centers on Robinhood Chain, which went live July 1, 2026. The popular trading platform constructed its blockchain using Arbitrum’s technological framework.
Through Arbitrum’s Expansion Program framework, the network captures an ongoing 10% share of net protocol revenues generated by third-party chains utilizing its infrastructure.
Throughout September’s opening two weeks, Robinhood Chain generated average daily fees of $2.8 million. Based on current velocity, Arbitrum is positioned to collect $5 million in Expansion Program fees during September—a figure exceeding its entire monthly revenue before Robinhood Chain’s deployment by more than fivefold.
According to Kendrick: “The early success of Robinhood Chain increases the probability that similar TradFi chains will also launch via the Arbitrum tech stack.”
Real-World Asset Tokenization Anchors Multi-Year Thesis
The bank’s extended bullish perspective hinges on accelerating tokenization of tangible assets. Standard Chartered projects tokenized assets expanding to $4 trillion by 2028’s conclusion, representing substantial growth from today’s approximately $340 billion base. Tokenized equity instruments alone could command $750 billion in market value during this timeframe.
Current data from RWA.xyz indicates tokenized real-world assets have accumulated nearly $39 billion in aggregate value.
Arbitrum stands to benefit as critical infrastructure supporting traditional financial institutions’ blockchain migration efforts. Kendrick emphasized that revenue generation is emerging as a decisive metric for digital asset valuation frameworks.
“We see digital assets transitioning from a state where revenue is not yet relevant to one where revenue is critical,” his research note stated.
The institution identified three primary headwinds: tokenization adoption lagging expectations, intensifying blockchain competition, and ARB’s indirect value capture mechanism. Additional variables include pending U.S. regulatory measures like the Clarity Act and DTCC initiatives around tokenized securities.
Following Robinhood Chain’s integration, Arbitrum’s monthly revenue stream has expanded to more than quintuple its previous baseline.
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