Key Takeaways
- Scaramucci anticipates Bitcoin will begin its next major rally during Q4 2026 through early 2027
- He dismisses concerns surrounding Michael Saylor and Strategy’s financial position
- Strategy maintains approximately $52 billion in Bitcoin holdings alongside $1 billion cash reserves
- Declining search volume and waning retail enthusiasm signal bullish conditions, according to Scaramucci
- This market cycle has seen milder corrections due to ETF capital flows and institutional participation
Anthony Scaramucci, the founder of SkyBridge Capital, shared his outlook on Bitcoin’s trajectory during a recent CNBC appearance, stating that the cryptocurrency remains aligned with its characteristic four-year market cycle. According to Scaramucci, the next significant upward movement should commence during the final quarter of 2026 and extend into the opening months of 2027.
Scaramucci observed that the current cycle has demonstrated less volatility compared to previous iterations. While Bitcoin has experienced approximately 50% retracement from peak levels, this represents a notably smaller drawdown than the 60–70% declines witnessed in earlier cycles. He attributes this moderation to sustained ETF capital inflows and heightened institutional adoption, which have provided support during downturns.
“I think Bitcoin starts to rally late in the fourth quarter of 2026 into early 2027,” he stated.
The veteran investor highlighted declining market engagement as an encouraging indicator. Internet search activity for Bitcoin has diminished considerably, and retail investor enthusiasm has noticeably waned. According to Scaramucci, such widespread indifference has historically emerged near cyclical bottoms rather than market peaks.
Scaramucci emphasized that Bitcoin’s market capitalization remains comparatively modest. This characteristic means even limited fresh capital deployment can generate substantial price momentum. The SkyBridge founder confirmed he maintains substantial personal Bitcoin holdings.
“I still like it. I own a lot of it,” he confirmed.
Strategy’s Position Receives Strong Endorsement from Scaramucci
Addressing skepticism regarding Strategy’s substantial Bitcoin exposure, Scaramucci emphasized that Michael Saylor maintains access to extensive capital markets and operates with a robust financial foundation.
“You have to really understand the mechanisms of the balance sheet to understand that Bitcoin can go a lot lower, and he’s virtually not in trouble,” he explained.
Strategy’s current Bitcoin treasury stands at approximately $52 billion in value. This reserve provides coverage for 31 months worth of dividend payments and interest commitments. Additionally, the corporation maintains $1 billion in liquid cash positions.
The company faces no significant debt obligations requiring refinancing until 2028. Saylor has consistently maintained that Strategy can sustain preferred stock dividends and enhance shareholder returns provided Bitcoin appreciates by a minimum of 1.25% on an annualized basis.
Scaramucci noted that Strategy’s equity continues trading at a valuation premium relative to its underlying Bitcoin asset base. He suggested this premium provides investors with the “necessary arbitrage” opportunity that supports confidence in the investment thesis.
“I like him. I think he’s going to be right,” Scaramucci said regarding Saylor.
He additionally referenced recent geopolitical developments and declining energy commodity prices as potential catalysts for disinflation. Should inflation moderate as anticipated, the Federal Reserve may implement interest rate reductions, which would likely benefit Bitcoin alongside other risk-oriented assets.
Drawing on nearly four decades of investment experience, Scaramucci characterized the present market conditions as a typical late-cycle deceleration rather than a terminal phase for Bitcoin’s long-term appreciation potential.


